Week 4 Picks (Weak 3 Results)

You're just going to have to trust me that I went 5-8-3 last week in my Yahoo! Pick 'em league against the spread.

On to Week 4.

Green Bay (-1.5) over MINNESOTA. Both teams have solid defenses, but I like Brett Favre and company to make a few more plays in this one.

ATLANTA (+3) over Houston. Andre Johnson and Ahman Green are out, so this seems like the best chance Atlanta is going to get to win a game.

BUFFALO (+3.5) over New York Jets. Two of the 'other' teams in the AFC East square off in Buffalo. Why not take the home team, who is getting points? Probably because their QB is out and their defense has been horrible, but what the hell!

Baltimore (-4) over CLEVELAND. Just too much Baltimore defense in this one.

DALLAS (-13) over St. Louis. I'm a firm believer in never taking a team giving this many points, but St. Louis looks horrible this year, especially without Orlando Pace, and now Steven Jackson. They've got no defense whatsoever, Romo and the 'Boys should put it to them.

DETROIT (+3) over Chicago. The Bears are a little banged up on defense and Brian Griese is about to start his first game since leaving Michigan. Not really, but this guy must be rusty, he's been dropped by three teams for chrissakes. I like Marz to spread it out and air it out; I'm taking the points at home.

MIAMI (-4) over Oakland. Ronnie Brown finally came alive last week, and I think he can continue some of that productivity this week at home. And with any luck, the 'Phins fans won't greet Daunte Culpepper too cordially.

Seattle (-2) over SAN FRANCISCO. San Francisco can't throw the ball. Like, at all. They're nearly as bad Kansas City.

Tampa Bay (+3) over CAROLINA. The Panthers are without their starting QB. That's my reasoning. I bet this game is a push anyways.

ARIZONA (+6) over Pittsburgh. Six points seems like a lot to me for a team that just it took Baltimore's defense on the road. I like Edge and the dynamic duo at receiver to have solid outings and cover this hefty spread at home.

SAN DIEGO (-11.5) over Kansas City. Two road losses in a row has the whole league wondering what's up with the Chargers. Even LT has come out and said he's not happy, and that something must be done. I'll be at this game on Sunday, and I expect the Chargers' fans will be showing their 'Bolt Pride' to the fullest.

INDIANAPOLIS (-9.5) over Denver. Indy always seems to make Denver look just straight up silly in the RCA Dome. Plus, Denver is two last second field goals away from being 0-3. They're overrated. San Diego will still win that division.

Philadelphia (-3) over NY GIANTS. As long as Westbrook is able to play, the Eagles should take this one with superior defense.

New England (-7) over Cincinnati. I've got to see the Pats lose before I bet against them.